Articles

How to: Add Monte Carlo Simulation to Your Spreadsheet Models
  This article walks through the process of adding Monte Carlo simulation analysis to an Excel spreadsheet with the RiskAMP Add-in.
The beta-PERT Distribution
  This article describes the beta-PERT distribution, used to model expert data (such as estimates from a project manager) in probability simulations.
Using the RiskAMP Add-in with VBA
  This article discusses running simulations from VBA, the VBA function library, and how to execute VBA code at each trial of a simulation.
The RiskAMP Add-in for Excel 2007
  If you're using Excel 2007, check here for some quick tips on running simulations and managing the RiskAMP Add-in.
Optimization of Simulation Variables
  This article describes a technique and provides a tool for solving linear optimization problems where the dependent value is the result of a simulation.

Whitepapers

Whitepaper: What is Monte Carlo Simulation?
Download the Excel spreadsheet used in this whitepaper
  This whitepaper is an overview of Monte Carlo simulations, and discusses the situations that can take advantage of risk management.

Screencasts

These screencasts illustrate the RiskAMP Add-in running in Excel, and show how easy it is to set up and use. Screencasts are in WMV format and require Windows Media Player.

Screencast: Confidence Levels
  In this screencast, you'll see how to test for confidence levels after running a Monte Carlo simulation by adding a few simple Excel functions.
Screencast: Charts and Graphs
  This screencast demonstrates the RiskAMP Histogram and Charts wizard - creating a simulation results spreadsheet, including charts, with just a few clicks.
Download the Excel spreadsheet used in the screencasts
  To run the simulations in these spreadsheets, you'll need to download and install the RiskAMP Add-in from the downloads page.

Reference

These reference documents are included with the RiskAMP Add-in installer.

RiskAMP Help Manual (Windows HTML Help format)
  The RiskAMP help manual is installed with the RiskAMP Add-in and is accessible from Excel to provide online help.
RiskAMP User Guide
  The user guide is an overview of the functions and concepts used in the RiskAMP Add-in.
RiskAMP Reference Guide
  The reference guide includes detailed information about the probability distributions provided with the RiskAMP Add-in.

Sample Spreadsheets

The following spreadsheets were created for whitepapers, as reference material for new functions, or in response to user requests. Some of these spreadsheets may include VBA code (macros).

If you would like to see an example spreadsheet illustrating a particular function or concept, please send us a message, and we can locate or create an example for you.

Basic Examples: Investment Returns and Project Planning
  This spreadsheet illustrates general uses of the RiskAMP Add-in in modeling investment returns and project planning.
Retirement Portfolio
  This spreadsheet demonstrates a simple retirement portfolio, with an analysis of the portfolio risk based on a fixed annual withdrawal.
Retirement Portfolio with Contribution Period
  This spreadsheet models a retirement plan prior to retirement, with a period of fixed contribution to the portfolio followed by a retirement period with a constant annual withdrawal amount.
Correlation: Bivariate Normal
  This example demonstrates the use of bivariate correlated normal values using the CorrelatedNormalValue function.
Correlation: Multivariate Normal (Small)
Correlation: Multivariate Normal (Large)
  These examples demonstrate the use of multivariate correlated normal values. The examples differ in complexity, but each uses a correlation table to generate a multivariate distribution.
Correlated Asset Portfolio Example
  This spreadsheet demonstrates the practical application of the multivariate normal function to create a 10-year portfolio model containing a weighted mix of correlated asset classes.
Interest Rates
  This is an example of modeling interest rates. The spreadsheet uses the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model to sample interest rates over multiple discrete periods. See Cox-Ingersoll-Ross for more information.
Value at Risk
  This spreadsheet illustrates estimating value at risk (VaR) with the RiskAMP add-in. Based on the gain or loss from a spreadsheet model, VaR can be estimated easily with the SimulationPercentile function.
Goalseek Example (Excel 2000/2003 version)
Goalseek Example (Excel 2007 version)
  This is an example of using VBA to run Goalseek within a Monte Carlo simulation. Please select the version that matches your version of Excel. Also note the spreadsheet contains macros, which will generate a warning when you open the spreadsheet.